Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2088.396293 2276.065088 2467.700080 2677.733893 2901.168337 3131.468758 3386.496217
2024-10-27 1712.789672 1980.302781 2265.479245 2590.990590 2951.104508 3336.176061 3777.909377
2024-11-03 1574.282297 1898.695227 2255.201665 2673.719939 3149.173857 3670.134942 4281.665083
2024-11-10 1453.768844 1817.813490 2228.302997 2721.599861 3294.333673 3934.389972 4699.649374
2024-11-17 1328.633582 1717.750736 2166.990609 2718.393703 3371.140903 4113.412780 5015.211730
2024-11-24 1208.514712 1612.857142 2090.186250 2687.717970 3407.818862 4239.744202 5265.161275
2024-12-01 1134.053957 1556.914283 2066.034290 2714.427882 3507.984789 4437.282576 5596.846366
2024-12-08 1055.489080 1489.837146 2022.922048 2713.192426 3570.543600 4587.502500 5871.135842
2024-12-15 1009.930353 1461.127081 2024.354772 2764.306942 3695.172107 4811.562638 6234.610046
2024-12-22 938.196252 1393.677786 1972.602063 2744.887975 3729.474759 4923.864041 6461.823925
2024-12-29 907.219929 1377.959178 1985.372577 2805.992592 3863.738399 5158.905058 6840.391328
2025-01-05 860.586863 1338.140729 1964.176263 2821.169606 3938.375773 5319.504569 7127.687903
2025-01-12 812.479564 1294.600933 1937.075089 2828.553179 4004.205147 5471.743957 7409.348992
2025-01-19 732.006951 1201.285890 1839.058619 2738.337091 3940.491087 5458.204452 7481.805846
2025-01-26 720.091369 1205.148324 1872.988133 2824.625010 4108.060308 5740.298295 7930.367949
2025-02-02 696.782694 1190.886242 1880.662203 2874.553138 4227.474866 5961.303775 8303.008605
2025-02-09 657.808363 1151.190085 1850.721179 2871.210098 4274.649238 6088.400313 8555.695241
2025-02-16 612.735588 1099.760104 1801.740807 2839.222752 4281.401165 6161.570292 8738.275166
2025-02-23 588.694656 1079.259651 1796.122283 2867.074908 4368.950169 6340.980940 9059.961642
2025-03-02 557.823504 1046.366420 1770.887193 2865.786677 4415.642940 6466.058596 9311.112950
2025-03-09 544.010296 1039.802473 1783.974602 2919.079881 4537.966288 6692.669651 9697.612997
2025-03-16 511.353025 1001.004181 1747.228244 2898.834350 4556.732280 6779.966994 9899.990140
2025-03-23 502.342062 1000.506716 1768.068058 2962.535206 4693.645003 7027.411870 10317.074575